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Risk & ruin
The Most Important Thing
Howard Marks
Risk is not how much a price wobbles, it's the chance of permanent loss - and you only learn you were reckless after the fact.
Chapters
13- Chapter 01Second-Level ThinkingTo beat the market you must think both differently and better than the crowd - being merely right isn't enough.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 02Understanding Market EfficiencyMarkets are usually efficient, so bargains only survive in the corners the crowd overlooks or misprices.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 03Value and the Price of ItSuccess comes from buying things well - below their worth - not merely from buying good things.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 04Understanding RiskRisk is the chance of losing money you can't get back - highest exactly when things feel safest.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 05Cycles and the PendulumEverything moves in cycles, and investor mood swings like a pendulum between greed and fear, overshooting both ways.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 06Combating Negative InfluencesGreed, fear and the urge to follow the herd are the forces that make investors buy high and sell low.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 07ContrarianismThe big money is made buying what everyone underestimates - which always feels uncomfortable at the time.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 08Finding BargainsBargains come from the overlooked and forced-sold - and you're allowed to wait, doing nothing, until a great one appears.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 09Knowing Where We StandYou can't predict the future, but you can read the market's mood and know roughly where you stand today.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 10Appreciating the Role of LuckA good outcome can follow a bad decision and vice versa, so judge decisions by their process, not their result.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 11Investing DefensivelyAim first not to lose; leave a margin for error and dodge the big mistakes that end careers.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 12Adding ValueReal skill is capturing more of the upside than the downside across a full cycle - not just riding the market.Read this chapter →
- Chapter 13Pulling It All TogetherGood investing is the disciplined combination of value, risk control, cycle awareness and defence - held together with patience.Read this chapter →