Mohnish Pabrai · study 6 of 6
Patience and inactivity - waiting for the fat pitch
Do almost nothing most of the time, wait calmly for the rare easy chance, and swing hard only then.
The setup - most of the game is waiting
Watch a really good batsman face a full over of cricket. Six balls come at him. Five of them, he does almost nothing - he lets them go, or gently blocks them. He is not scared; he is choosing to wait. Then the sixth ball arrives slow, high, and right in his favourite spot. Now he steps in and smashes it for a huge six. Most of the over was patience. The runs came from one perfect swing.
Mohnish Pabrai says investing is mostly like those five balls you let go, not the one you hit. His picture, borrowed from baseball, is the fat pitch - an easy, slow, obvious ball that is begging to be hit. In investing, a fat pitch is a rare chance so clearly good that even a careful person can see it plainly. Pabrai's advice is simple and hard: wait calmly for the fat pitch, and swing hard only then. The rest of the time, do nothing.
This is uncomfortable, because doing nothing feels wrong. We think a busy investor must be a good investor, always buying, always selling, always acting. Pabrai says the opposite. Most of the time there is no fat pitch, so the right move is to sit still, keep learning, and wait. The great chances are rare, and they come to those patient enough to still be waiting when they arrive. This study is about that quiet, difficult skill - the art of waiting well and doing almost nothing, most of the time.
The read - let the bad balls go by
Here is something wonderful about investing that is not true in cricket: there is no umpire, and you are never out for letting a ball go. In real cricket, if you let too many balls pass, eventually you might be given out. But in investing, you can let a thousand chances go by and lose nothing. Nobody forces you to swing. You can stand there, patient, for as long as you like, waiting only for the fat pitch.
Why does patience matter so much? Because most chances are ordinary, and ordinary chances give ordinary results. If you feel you must act every week, you will keep swinging at ordinary balls - buying so-so things just to feel busy - and slowly turn your money into a pile of mediocre bets. But if you can wait, you can save all your energy and money for the rare fat pitch, where the odds are clearly and heavily in your favour. Waiting is not wasted time. It is you refusing to swing at anything less than excellent.
There is a second, quieter kind of patience, and Pabrai stresses it just as much: patience after you buy. Once you own a good thing, the hardest work is often to sit still and do nothing while the price wobbles up and down for years. The temptation to fiddle - to sell on a scary day, to jump to the next shiny thing - destroys more results than almost anything else. Pabrai likes to say that great investing looks boring: long stretches of watching paint dry, broken by rare moments of action. The doing-nothing is not the gap between the real work - the doing-nothing is most of the real work.
So the reading skill is this: treat activity as costly, not virtuous. Ask, before every action, "Is this a fat pitch - a clearly excellent, obvious chance - or am I just itching to do something?" If it is not clearly excellent, let it go by. You lose nothing by waiting, and you keep yourself ready for the rare ball that is truly worth the swing.
See it happen - the itchy player and the calm one
illustrative Two friends each start the year with ₹1,000. They face the same market, the same chances.
Haridya the itchy one cannot bear to sit still. Every few weeks she feels she must do something, so she buys and sells, jumps between ordinary chances, and reacts to every scary news day by selling in a hurry. Most of her moves are at ordinary balls, and her fear makes her sell good things too early. Each little action also costs a bit in fees and mistakes. After a year of constant activity, her ₹1,000 is about ₹980. All that effort, and she is slightly behind.
Aarohi the calm one does almost nothing. For most of the year she just waits and reads, letting ordinary chances pass. She acts only twice: once to buy a clearly excellent thing when a gloomy market made it cheap, and once - never - to panic. When scary days came, she sat completely still. After a year of mostly doing nothing, her ₹1,000 is about ₹1,180.
| Haridya (itchy) | Aarohi (calm) | |
|---|---|---|
| Actions in the year | Many - buying, selling, reacting | Two - one buy, no panic |
| Swung at ordinary balls? | Yes, often | No - let them go |
| On scary days | Sold in fear | Sat still |
| ₹1,000 became | about ₹980 | about ₹1,180 |
Notice the surprise: Aarohi won by doing less. She was not lazy - waiting and sitting still took real self-control, more than Haridya's busy fiddling. Haridya's constant activity felt productive but quietly hurt her: ordinary bets, early selling from fear, and small costs all added up. Aarohi's patience meant she only acted when the odds were clearly great, and then left her good decision alone. In investing, the calm hand usually beats the busy one - because most of the game is refusing to swing.
Where this idea can trip you up
Waiting can turn into never acting. Patience is meant to help you swing hard at the fat pitch when it finally comes. But some people wait so long, and grow so afraid, that they let the fat pitch sail past too. The batsman who never hits any ball scores nothing. Patience is a tool for finding and taking the great chance, not an excuse to avoid every decision forever.
"Doing nothing" is not the same as "not paying attention." Sitting still with your money does not mean ignoring the world. While you wait, you should be reading and learning, so you can recognise the fat pitch when it appears. Lazy waiting - where you neither act nor learn - means the great ball will come and go without you even noticing it.
Sometimes sitting still is wrong. Patience after buying is usually right, but not always. If the business itself has truly gone bad - not just the price wobbling, but the real thing rotting - then stubbornly doing nothing becomes a mistake. The skill is telling a scary price wobble (sit still) from a genuine business problem (act). Blind stillness is not the same as wise patience.
Boredom pushes you to act. The hardest part is emotional. Doing nothing for months is boring, and boredom quietly whispers, "just do something." Many people break their own patience not because a fat pitch came, but simply because waiting felt unbearable. Knowing you should wait is not the same as being able to sit through the wait.
Using this in India
Patience is celebrated in Indian life, so this idea feels natural here. The cricket-loving child already knows a wise batsman waits for his ball. Elders repeat that good things take time and that haste spoils work. So the spirit of patient inactivity transfers to India beautifully - perhaps more easily than to busier, noisier places.
What must transfer carefully is guarding against the pressures that push Indians to act too much: fast-moving WhatsApp tips, friends boasting about quick gains, and the feeling that everyone else is busily making money while you sit still. All of that tempts you to swing at ordinary balls. Use the batsman's calm instead. Let the tips and boasts pass like bad balls. Act only on the rare, clearly excellent chance you have understood yourself, and once you have acted well, resist the itch to keep fiddling. In India's excitement, the ability to sit quietly and do nothing is rare - and rare is exactly what makes it valuable. Just remember the balance: wait patiently, but do swing when the true fat pitch finally arrives.
How to spot it yourself
- Treat activity as costly, not clever. Before any action, ask "is this a fat pitch, or am I just itching to act?"
- Let ordinary balls go. You are never 'out' for waiting, so pass on everything that is not clearly excellent.
- Wait actively. Keep reading and learning while you sit still, so you can recognise the great chance when it comes.
- After a good buy, sit still. Resist selling on scary price wobbles; fiddling destroys more results than waiting ever does.
- But do swing when it comes. Patience is for taking the fat pitch, not for avoiding every decision forever.
- Separate price wobble from real rot. Sit still through scary prices; act only if the actual business has truly gone bad.
Carry forward
- Most of investing is waiting: you let ordinary chances go by and swing hard only at the rare 'fat pitch'.
- Unlike cricket, there is no umpire - you are never 'out' for waiting, so you can pass on a thousand balls and lose nothing.
- Patience after buying matters just as much: sitting still through price wobbles beats constant fiddling.
- The dangers are waiting so long you miss the fat pitch, mistaking laziness for patience, and boredom pushing you to act.
Do almost nothing most of the time, wait calmly for the rare easy chance, and swing hard only then.